Why Aren’t we Seeing more CRE Distress

WHY IS DISTRESS IN CRE SO LOW IN 2024?​​

Billions of Dollars Waiting TO Re-Enter CRE Markets

  • Entering 2024, investment firms have set aside over 240 Billion Dollars for potential CRE purchases​

  • Many of these firms have been waiting for foreclosures ad distress, but so far there hasn’t been a large wave​

Property  Values Grew Substantially At The Start Of The Decade

  • All property types, apart from office, have average price points higher today then they did to close 2019​

  • This means properties that traded in 2018, 2019, and 2020, are far removed from being in negative leverage situations​

Some Properties Acquired At Market Peak Could Face Distress

  • While long-term pricing trends have shielded many investors from financing issues, properties acquired at the peak of the market cycle in 2021-2022 have seen annual valuations fall​

  • This mostly just affects investors who used aggressive underwriting practices and those who have limited capital on hand​

*Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Real Capital Analytics​​

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