Impact of the March FED Meeting

WHAT THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE FED FUNDS RATE AND CRE FINANCING COSTS MEANS FOR INVESTORS THIS YEAR​

The Federal Reserve Kept Rates Flat In March

  • As expected, The Federal Reserve Maintained An Overnight  Rate of 5.25%-5.50% in March 2024​

  • Expectation for EOY 2024 show the Fed believes either two       or three 25 basis point rate cuts are likely this year​

Rate Cuts Will Not Make Lending Cheaper Overnight

  • While the 10-year treasury moves with the Fed Funds Rate generally over the long term, many other factors influence treasury yields​

  • Heightened treasury issuance could raise 10-year treasury  rates, while reducing quantitative easing would have the opposite effect​

Investors Should Assess Deals Based on Today

  • We can predict the Fed Action this year, but it is harder to predict how those actions will impact CRE lending right away​

  • Real estate fundamentals are generally strong, and CRE assets will remain a sound investment in 2024​

*February​
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Federal Reserve​​​

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