What’s Holding Sidelined Capital Back

HOW MUCH CAPITAL IS WAITING FOR MARKET STABILITY?​

Market Could Heat Up Once Capital Is Deployed​

  • With institutions holding over $200B to invest in real estate, the total quantity of dry powder likely is above $300B​

  • This capital is being limited by the number of listed properties and uncertainty surrounding interest rates​

Fed Signals Rates To Be “Higher-For-Longer”​

  • The Fed signaled that those who are waiting for significant rate cuts may wait longer than expected​

  • New projections show the Federal Funds Rate is expected to stay around 5% until after the end of 2024​

Sidelined Capital Waiting To Rush Back Into CRE​

  • As the market gets time to adjusts, the expectation gap between buyers-and sellers will narrow​

  • Sidelined capital will return to the market and amplify deal velocity once buyers and sellers’ expectations calibrate​

*Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Goldman Sachs​

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CRE Performance Over the Last Ten Years