What to Expect for CRE in 2024

2024 FORECAST RELEASE; WHERE ARE PROPERTY TYPE FUNDAMENTALS HEADED IN 2024?​

Federal Reserve Increasingly Likely To Achieve Soft Landing​

  • Slower GDP and labor market growth are expected in 2024​

  • Easing but positive growth should help bring wages and inflation to more sustainable levels next year​

New Supply Pressuring Industrial and Apartment Vacancy​

  • Rising vacancy in the industrial and apartment sectors is largely driven by new supply, but both property types are expected to record heightened absorption in 2024​

  • Construction starts are trending lower, a positive for both asset types once the current pipeline begins to clear​

Retail and Office Markets Moving in Opposite Directions​

  • Office vacancy is anticipated to rise sharply in 2024, but some types and locations will still outperform the average​

  • Retail vacancy is close to record lows entering 2024, and limited supply growth will keep occupancy near that level​

Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services​

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