What the Inflation Move Means for Interest Rates

Is Inflation Pressure Starting to Subside?

Inflation Shows Signs of Easing

  • CPI Inflation rose by 8.5% in July over last year, down from 41-year high in June

  • Reflects recent drop in oil and gas prices

  • Supply chains appear to be improving, should further help lower prices for goods

Will the Fed Change Course?

  • Fed likely to raise rates by 50-75 bps on September 21

  • Also expected to double monthly balance sheet reduction to $95B/month (Quantitative Tightening)

Considerations for CRE Investors

  • Inflation resistant properties remain in favor

  • Underlying demand drivers sustaining strong fundamentals for most property types

  • Investors recalibrating strategies to higher interest rate climate; CRE market remains liquid

*Through July; 10-Year Treasury through August 10
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, BLS, Federal Reserve

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