What is the Impact of Rising Consumer Debt on CRE

IS A CONSUMER DEBT CRISIS ON THE HORIZON?​

Media Focusing On Record High Consumer Debt​

  • Total household debt in the U.S. reached a record $17T in July, while revolving credit surpassed $1T ​

  • Inflation adjusting theses figures, brings consumer debt back into perspective​

U.S. Economy More Productive Than Ever​

  • Debt levels have risen, but so have incomes and GDP, increasing consumers ability to make debt payments​

  • Consumer loans as a percentage of GDP are trending lower than they have in the past 2 decades​

Debt Unlikely To Hold Back Demand In 2023​

  • If consumer confidence continues its upward pace, consumers willingness to spend and form new households should not be restricted by debt burdens​

  • Banking turmoil, Fed decisions, or any number of events could shake confidence, but the current trend is positive​

*Through 1Q​
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System​

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