The Employment Market and Wage Inflation

What Emerging Workforce Trends Mean for Investors?

Labor Market Still Showing Signs of Strength

  • The unemployment rate in April fell back to 3.4 percent, while the labor shortage fell to 3.7 million

  • A decrease in immigration and of older workers in the labor force are helping sustain the shortage

Diminishing Wage Pressure To Aid Inflation Fight

  • Despite the shortage of workers, wage growth has fallen off recent highs to 4.3% annually

  • Construction wages are 15.3% higher than before the pandemic, creating additional delays in construction

What This Means For Investors

  • As wage growth is a major concern of the Fed, a slowdown may signal that it is time to pause rate hikes

  • Certainty in the interest rate climate would help investors, developers and lenders achieve stable financing outcomes on projects and plans

*Through April; job openings through March
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, BLS

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