The Current State of CRE Transactions

What Long-Run CRE Deal Flow Trends Mean For Investors in 2023

The Forces Restraining Transaction Flow

  • The Fed lifted rates by 300 bps in a 140-day span, forcing CRE investors to recalibrate their investment underwriting and strategies

  • While the rapid rise of debt capital costs slowed deal flow, interest rates remain below their long-term average; as investors acclimate, activity could revive

Since 2000, Investment in CRE Has Risen Dramatically

  • The retreat in transaction volumes in 2022 is negligible within the context of the sector growth over the last 2 decades

  • In this time, CRE investors have navigated numerous down cycles only to return stronger

What Will It Take For Transaction Velocity To Rise?

  • Investors have become increasingly sophisticated, information has improved dramatically and capital has become more prolific

  • CRE investing has become more mainstream, bolstering deal flow during both upcycles and downturns

Includes apartment, retail, office, industrial, hotel and seniors housing sales $2.5 million and greater
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Real Capital Analytics

Watch the Video Below

Previous
Previous

Implications of Federal Reserve Rate Policy

Next
Next

How Consumer Sentiment Impacts CRE