Implications of the July FED Rate Increase for CRE

WHERE DOES THE FED TAKE INTEREST RATES FROM HERE?​

Fed Advances With Telegraphed Rate Hike​

  • The Fed chose to lift the Federal Funds Rate to 5.25%-5.50% in July, a move they telegraphed following their June meeting​

  • Changing rates will impact some deals, but investors and lenders should have been more prepared this time​

What Should Investors Expect From The Fed This Year​

  • Despite the Fed’s declared data-driven approach, Wall Street is forecasting flat rates through the end of 2023​

  • Headline inflation data has retreated significantly, but “core” inflation measures will be closely tracked​

Stable Rates Should Bolster CRE Investment​

  • If this is the end of the rate hiking cycle, lending could stabilize, and uncertainty will diminish​

  • This has the potential to begin reducing the buyer/seller expectation gap​

*Through July 26
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, BLS​ ​

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