Impact of Tightened Lending on CRE

THE IMPACT OF SHIFTING LENDING STANDARDS ON CRE MARKETS​

Lending Is Active, But Standards Are Changing​

  • Lending is generally available for most CRE assets, but the cost of borrowing is heightened​

  • CRE Loan-To-Value has dropped to the 50%-60% range, which is impacting transaction activity​

CRE Performance Is Strong​

  • Typically, property distress and missed payments are the primary cause for tightening lending standards​

  • But as of 2Q, the CRE delinquency rate is still 0.84%, well below the nearly 9% level recorded in 2010​

Fundamentals Are Sound, So Why Is Financing Difficult?​

  • Coming off major bank runs this spring; smaller banks have been trying to create additional liquidly in case confidence falls and sparks withdrawals​

  • The tightening being tied to banking risk, rather than CRE performance risk, is a positive sign for where CRE lending is headed moving forward​

*Lending Standards through 4Q​
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Real Capital Analytics​

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